Dollar clears 3-month high, yields surge on hawkish Powell By Investing.com

By Ambar Warrick

Investing.com — The U.S. dollar hit a three-month high against a basket of currencies on Wednesday, tracking a spike in Treasury yields after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said that interest rates were likely to rise more than market expectations.

The and rose about 0.2% each in Asian trade, hitting their highest levels since early-December. The two instruments also surged about 1.3% on Tuesday.

before Congress that the Fed is likely to raise interest rates more than market expectations, following recent resilience in the U.S. economy. This saw markets rapidly begin in March, up from prior expectations for a rise of 25 bps.

U.S. Treasury yields also surged in overnight trade, with a bias towards short-term yields. This in turn caused a further deepening in the yield curve, with close to their lowest level since October.

also surged past 5% for the first time since 2007.

Powell’s comments come after stronger-than-expected and labor market readings for January showed that the Fed likely needed to tighten policy further to ensure a sustained downtrend in inflation.

The central bank by a cumulative 450 basis points since March 2022 to an upper range of 4.75%, which had seen market positioning for a terminal rate – i.e., a peak – of around 5.5%.

But with inflation still showing signs of stickiness, markets are now positioning for rates potentially breaching 6%.

Focus this week is largely on more cues on the Fed and the labor market, with the central bank’s report on the economy due later on Wednesday.

data for February is due on Friday, with any signs of strength in the economy giving the Fed more headroom to keep raising rates.

Rising interest rates have drummed up fears of a sharp slowdown in the U.S. economy later this year. An inverted yield curve is regarded by markets to be a classic signal that traders are positioning for a potential recession.